Conveyancing Market Nose-Dives In Q4
Coveyancing Market Nose-Dives in Q4 As Policitcal Uncertainty Quashes Transaction Volumes And Active Firms
Search Acumen Conveyancing Market Tracker – Q4 2019 edition
- Quarterly transactions down by 8% in Q4 to the lowest level since Q2 2017
- Number of active firms now at 3,920 – a record low and 5% down in the last 12 months
- Top 1,000 conveyancers see their number of transactions drop while those firms outside the top 1,000 experience their strongest quarter in 2019
- Top 200 firms witness most challenging quarter of the year and report a 13% quarterly drop in activity
The conveyancing industry felt the full brunt of political and economic uncertainty in the final quarter of 2019, according to the Q4 2019 edition of the Conveyancing Market Tracker from Search Acumen, the property data insight and technology provider.
The tracker shows that quarterly transactions dropped to the lowest level of 2019 (226,444). This marks an 8% decline on the previous quarter’s figure (246,816) and a 15% decrease compared to the same period in 2018 (267,438).
The flagging industry data can be largely attributed to political indecision and the moveable feast that was the Brexit deadlines in Q4. This negatively impacted homebuyers and property investors alike, by dampening their appetite and delaying purchasing decisions, before post-election clarity and stability emerged at the very end of the year.
The trend left quarterly transaction volumes in Q4 at their lowest since Q2 2017 (210,964) – another period of heightened political uncertainty which saw the UK triggering Article 50 in March 2017, followed by the calling of the previous general election.
A shrinking pool of conveyancers
The total number of active conveyancers tumbled to a record low of 3,920. This is a quarterly decrease of 41 firms and a 5% drop compared to the same period in 2018 (4,126). It represents the second time since records began in 2011 that the total active firms have dropped below 4,000 – the first instance was at the beginning of 2019 (3,961).
Smaller firms make a comeback in a dampened market
Q4 unusually saw a rise in the number of firms doing 1-5 transactions per month. There was a 3% quarterly increase in the number of “occasional conveyancers” from 1,629 to 1,678. It is the only segment of the market to experience an increase in comparison to five years ago (by 11%). This may have been influenced by some firms who are typically busier (averaging 5+ transactions a month) experiencing a quieter end to the year than normal.
Just 64 firms processed 101-200 transactions a month on average during Q4, down from 94 firms in Q3 2019.
When broken down in more detail, the spread of transactions across the market points towards a trend of smaller firms coming out on top at the end of the year, in context of a period which saw significantly dampened activity.
The top 1,000 firms by number of transactions experienced their worst quarter of 2019 for business, registering 161,120 transactions in total. This is a quarterly drop of 14% (from 186,540 in Q3) and a 20% decline on the same period in 2018 (200,636). The top 200 firms also witnessed their most challenging quarter of the year and reported a 13% quarterly decline in activity (96,667 in Q3 2019 vs. 83,974 in Q4 2019).
Conversely, those firms outside the top 1,000 achieved their best quarterly figures for the year, surging by 8% on Q3 (65,324 vs. 60,276). However, it should be noted that this still represents an annual decline of 2%, with transactions completed outside of the top 1,000 firms totaling 66,802 in Q4 2018.
Firms at the very top grow market share
The data on collective market share reveals that the top 1,000 firms’ hold on conveyancing activity slipped by five percentage points quarterly (71% vs. 76%) which is the lowest share since Q3 2012 (70%). The remaining firms seized almost 30% market share (29%), which is their biggest contribution of any quarter during 2019 and a five percentage point increase from 24% in Q3 2018. Their share last reached the 30% mark seven years ago in 2012.
However, the very largest firms at the top of the market were somewhat insulated from this trend. Despite fewer transactions in the market, they still saw their share of conveyancing activity increase annually from 5.4% in Q4 2018 to 6.0% in Q4 2019, which is the first time they have broken the 6% marker for two years (since reaching 6.2% in Q4 2017).
Andy Sommerville, Director of Search Acumen, comments:
“The curtain call for 2019 couldn’t come soon enough for a conveyancing market which was rocked by political peaks and troughs, prompting several indicators to annual or even record lows in Q4. What has come as a surprise is the comeback of smaller conveyancers which gives us hope that the market is not broken from top to bottom, but remains in need of transformation.”
“Despite the market slowdown, property buyers and investors have not made a flight to the top but instead continue to work with smaller conveyancers who bring local, well-honed expertise to the table.
“Given the improved political climate at the very end of 2019, the next challenge for firms will be to ride the likely surge in demand as the backlog of transactions that were put on hold start to be unleashed as consumer and business confidence returns.
“Getting from a verbal agreement to a completed transaction can still be an excessively complex, drawn out and inefficient process – adding financial risk and additional friction to residential and commercial property markets. Despite the promise of increased technology, the user experience often remains poor – for conveyancers and solicitors, as well as their clients – and continues to lag behind the advances seen in other sectors.
“In many cases, the technology itself is here, and for the decade ahead to truly deliver on the promise of industry change, we urge conveyancers big and small to harness available data and upskill in new innovations.”
This article was submitted to be published by Search Acumen as part of their advertising agreement with Today’s Conveyancer. The views expressed in this article are those of the submitter and not those of Today’s Conveyancer.